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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Bristol City |
51.16% ( 0.19) | 25.53% ( -0) | 23.31% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 48.53% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.83% ( -0.15) | 54.17% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.41% ( -0.13) | 75.58% ( 0.13) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% ( 0.02) | 21.2% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.91% ( 0.03) | 54.08% ( -0.03) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.59% ( -0.27) | 38.4% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.84% ( -0.26) | 75.16% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.15% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.54% Total : 23.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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