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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Oxford United

Bristol City
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Armstrong (57'), Wells (75' pen.)
Williams (10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodrigues (28')
El Mizouni (11'), Moore (66'), Vaulks (74'), Brown (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Oxford United

Many will feel that Oxford make the trip to Ashton Gate as the favourites to come out on top given their superior start. Nevertheless, we are backing Bristol City to earn a share of the spoils, even if that will not go down well with their supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawOxford United
55.54% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.35%21.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.28% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)73.76% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 55.54%
    Oxford United 21.1%
    Draw 23.35%
Bristol CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 5.79%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.27%
5-0 @ 0.91%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 55.54%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.35%
0-1 @ 6.28%
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 21.1%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Oxford Utd

Bristol City
38.3%
Draw
23.4%
Oxford United
38.3%
47
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
5-1
Oxford Utd
Cornick (15'), Knight (35', 47'), Wells (51'), Naismith (62')
Dickie (55'), Roberts (90+7')
Bodin (30')
Brown (45+4'), Murphy (70'), Rodrigues (89')
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Bristol City
4-1
Oxford Utd
Conway (13', 54'), Weimann (27'), Knight (49')
O'Donkor (15')
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
Round One
Bristol City
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bryan (2')
Bryan (22'), El-Abd (70')
Morris (55'), Hylton (87')
Collins (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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