EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City0 - 1Coventry
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Bristol City 1-2 Coventry City
Bristol City will be desperate to win in front of their Ashton Gate faithful after dropping two points in the final moments at Hull on the weekend. Coventry have a number of exciting attackers who are set to start on Tuesday even if Robins elects to rotate his XI, so we are envisaging progression into the second round for the Sky Blues. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Coventry City |
38.29% ( -0.03) | 25.77% ( 0) | 35.94% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.98% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.8% ( -0.01) | 49.2% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.73% ( -0.01) | 71.27% ( 0.01) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.81% ( -0.02) | 25.19% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.08% ( -0.03) | 59.92% ( 0.03) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.49% ( 0.01) | 26.51% ( -0.01) |