We said: Getafe 1-1 Coventry City
Having already played a friendly this month, Coventry should be sharper than their Spanish opponents, giving the Sky Blues an advantage for this behind-closed-doors clash.
Getafe are missing their main striker and are likely to field an XI containing academy players, so we cannot imagine the Spaniards collecting a win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.