La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 26, 2024 at 1pm UK

Coliseum Alfonso Perez

Getafe
1 - 2
Mallorca

Alvarez (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Muriqi (90'), Maffeo (90+3')
Vidal (30'), Aguirre (50'), Rodriguez (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Getafe
Saturday, May 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Despite the difference in league positions, it is the visitors who head into this contest in the better form. Nevertheless, now with only pride to play for, Mallorca's level may drop, leaving us to predict a narrow victory for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Mallorca
31.21% ( -0.23)	29.76% ( 0.05)	39.03% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 42.26% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.28% (

-0.21)

64.72% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.31% (

-0.15)

83.69% (

0.15)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.4% (

-0.29)

37.6% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.62% (

-0.28)

74.38% (

0.29)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.73% (

32.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.23% (

68.77% (

Score Analysis

Getafe 31.2%

Mallorca 39.03%

Draw 29.75%

Getafe	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 31.2%	1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.75%	0-1 @ 13.72% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 39.03%