Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
26.68% ( 0.58) | 26.32% ( -0.11) | 47% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 49.35% ( 0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.33% ( 0.76) | 54.66% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24% ( 0.62) | 75.99% ( -0.63) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.29% ( 0.9) | 35.7% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.52% ( 0.91) | 72.47% ( -0.92) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( 0.1) | 23.24% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( 0.15) | 57.16% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.68% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |