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La Liga
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 12, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Celta Vigo logo

Atletico
1 - 0
Celta Vigo

De Paul (84')
Witsel (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Starfelt (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Atletico
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Celta Vigo

 Celta's recent form has been impressive, and they will enter this match in good shape, but Atletico's work is not done when it comes to finishing inside the top four, and Simeone's side are so strong at home. We are not expecting a classic, but the capital side should navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo
61.79% (0.301 0.3) 21.02% (-0.18 -0.18) 17.19% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.03% (0.355 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.57% (0.593 0.59)43.43% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.17% (0.58 0.58)65.83% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.28 0.28)13.52% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.42% (0.557 0.56)40.58% (-0.556 -0.56)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32% (0.212 0.21)38.67% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (0.201 0.2)75.41% (-0.202 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 61.78%
    Celta Vigo 17.19%
    Draw 21.02%
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 10.46% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.98% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.49% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.32% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.042 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 61.78%
1-1 @ 9.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.02%
0-1 @ 4.97% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.19%

How you voted: Atletico vs Celta Vigo

Atletico Madrid
77.6%
Draw
18.8%
Celta Vigo
3.5%
85
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Celta Vigo
0-3
Atletico

Mingueza (30'), Starfelt (51'), Rodriguez (87')
Villar (25')
Griezmann (29' pen., 64', 70')
Niguez (54'), Riquelme (87')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 21
Celta Vigo
0-1
Atletico
Depay (89')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Atletico
4-1
Celta Vigo
Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Veiga (71')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Atletico
2-0
Celta Vigo
Lodi (36', 60')
Savic (12'), Gimenez (15'), Oblak (20'), Mandava (50')

Aspas (17'), Araujo (71'), Galhardo (84')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Celta Vigo
1-2
Atletico
Aspas (59' pen.)
Suarez (77'), Solari (86'), Fontan (90'), Aspas (90+5')
Mallo (90+5')
Correa (23', 64')
Lemar (11'), Llorente (57'), Kondogbia (61'), Carrasco (90+2'), Gimenez (90+8')
Hermoso (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010
> La Liga Full Table


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