La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 18, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
1 - 0
Getafe

Vicente (12')
Simeone (15'), Benavidez (37'), Tenaglia (50'), Blanco (80'), Omorodion (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Angel Carmona (11'), Maksimovic (17'), Rico (45'), Bordalas (45+2'), Latasa (71'), Alena (77'), Moriba (78')
Moriba (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-0 Alaves
Tuesday, May 14 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 0-3 Atletico
Wednesday, May 15 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

With just one point separating the two sides, we expect Saturday's to produce a close-fought contest, and we think the two sides will play out a draw, especially as six of their last seven head-to-head meetings have finished all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Getafe
48.85% ( 1.09)	27.34% ( 0.01)	23.81% ( -1.11)

Both teams to score 44.12% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.81% (

-0.78)

60.18% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.62% (

-0.6)

80.38% (

0.59)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.2% (

0.17)

24.8% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.63% (

0.24)

59.37% (

-0.24)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.67% (

-1.48)

41.33% (

1.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.15% (

-1.33)

77.85% (

1.33)

Score Analysis

Alaves 48.85%

Getafe 23.81%

Draw 27.33%

Alaves	Draw	Getafe
1-0 @ 14.29% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 48.85%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.21% Total : 23.81%