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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Alaves logo

Real Madrid
5 - 0
Alaves

Bellingham (10'), Junior (27', 70'), Valverde (45+1'), Guler (81')
Junior (52')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Duarte (50')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Alaves.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's La Liga clash with Alaves.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Alaves

All competitions
Last Game: Alaves 2-2 Girona
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Alaves

 Alaves will enter this match in excellent form, and we are backing the Basque team to give their supporters a goal to cheer on Tuesday night. Real Madrid are so difficult to stop at the moment, though, and the capital giants should post their 29th league win of the season here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAlaves
69.71% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 18.21% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 12.07% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.34% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)41.66% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.94% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)64.06% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)10.8% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.17% (-0.035999999999987 -0.04)34.83% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.23% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)44.76% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.25% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)80.74% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 69.7%
    Alaves 12.07%
    Draw 18.21%
Real MadridDrawAlaves
2-0 @ 11.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 8.88% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 69.7%
1-1 @ 8.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 18.21%
0-1 @ 3.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 12.07%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Alaves

Real Madrid
84.5%
Draw
8.9%
Alaves
6.5%
168
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Alaves
0-1
Real Madrid

Duarte (45'), Lopez (83'), Tenaglia (90')
Vazquez (90+2')
Ancelotti (39'), Bellingham (84')
Nacho (54')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Real Madrid
3-0
Alaves
Asensio (63'), Junior (80'), Benzema (90+1' pen.)
Modric (33')

N'Diaye (48')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 1
Alaves
1-4
Real Madrid
Joselu (65' pen.)
Garcia (35')
Benzema (48', 62'), Nacho (56'), Junior (90+2')
Bale (53'), Courtois (64')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Alaves
1-4
Real Madrid
Joselu (59')
Navarro (10'), Garcia (49'), Laguardia (79'), Sainz (85'), Mendez (90+2')
Casemiro (15'), Benzema (41', 70'), Hazard (45+1')
Militao (59'), Mendy (86'), Benzema (88')
> Match Report
Nov 28, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
1-2
Alaves
Casemiro (86')
Casemiro (18'), Kroos (61')
Perez (5' pen.), Joselu (49')
Rioja (67'), Duarte (76'), Mendez (88')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona15111343162734
2Real Madrid14103130111933
3Atletico MadridAtletico159512681832
4Athletic Bilbao157532214826
5Villarreal147522723426
6Mallorca157351513224
7Osasuna156542023-323
8GironaGirona156452220222
9Real Sociedad156361311221
10Real BetisBetis155551618-220
11Sevilla155461419-519
12Celta Vigo155372327-418
13Rayo Vallecano144461416-216
14Las PalmasLas Palmas154382026-615
15Leganes153661420-615
16AlavesAlaves154291625-914
17Getafe152761013-313
18Espanyol144191527-1213
19Valencia132471321-810
20Real ValladolidValladolid1523101032-229
> La Liga Full Table


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