Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.