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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Barcelona logo

Real Madrid
3 - 2
Barcelona

Junior (18' pen.), Vazquez (73'), Bellingham (90+1')
Camavinga (34'), Junior (75'), Modric (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Christensen (6'), Lopez (69')
Kounde (75'), Cubarsi (90')

The Match

Match Report

Jude Bellingham scores a late winner to fire Real Madrid to a 3-2 win over Barcelona in Sunday's El Clasico at the Santiago Bernabeu.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Barcelona.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Barcelona.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 1-4 PSG
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
51.79% (0.199 0.2) 22.15% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 26.06% (-0.243 -0.24)
Both teams to score 62.53% (-0.41 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.93% (-0.434 -0.43)37.07% (0.435 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.73% (-0.47300000000001 -0.47)59.26% (0.472 0.47)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)14.52% (0.089 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.45% (-0.171 -0.17)42.55% (0.171 0.17)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (-0.404 -0.4)26.85% (0.404 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (-0.534 -0.53)62.15% (0.533 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 51.79%
    Barcelona 26.06%
    Draw 22.15%
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 51.79%
1-1 @ 9.89% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.9% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.13% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 26.06%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Barcelona

Real Madrid
65.5%
Draw
15.9%
Barcelona
18.6%
264
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 7pm
Final
Real Madrid
4-1
Barcelona
Junior (7', 10', 39' pen.), Rodrygo (64')
Bellingham (43'), Rudiger (62')
Lewandowski (33')
Araujo (37'), Roberto (39')
Araujo (71')
Oct 28, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 11
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
Gundogan (6')
Lopez (17'), Torres (45+2')
Bellingham (68', 90+2')
Carvajal (61')
Jul 29, 2023 10pm
Club Friendlies
Barcelona
3-0
Real Madrid
Dembele (15'), Lopez Marin (85'), Torres (90+1')
de Jong (41'), Kounde (62'), Romeu (71')

Tchouameni (25'), Camavinga (34'), Carvajal (45+3'), Alaba (81')
Apr 5, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Barcelona
0-4
Real Madrid
Junior (45+1'), Benzema (50', 58', 80')
Mar 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Barcelona
2-1
Real Madrid
Roberto (45'), Kessie (90+2')
Araujo (9' og.)
Build-up
Real Madrid's David Alaba celebrates their first goal on September 2, 2023
Real Madrid injury update vs. Barcelona - duo out for Los Blancos
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Barcelona.
Apr 18, 10:22
Barcelona's Alejandro Balde on March 2, 2023
Barcelona injury, suspension update vs. Real Madrid - duo set to return to squad
Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Real Madrid.
Apr 18, 10:31
Real Madrid's Rodrygo celebrates scoring with Vinicius Junior and teammates against Manchester City on April 17, 2024
Real Madrid 'sweating over fitness of key player for El Clasico'
Real Madrid forward Vinicius Junior emerges as a doubt for Sunday evening's La Liga clash against Barcelona.
Apr 18, 14:04
Real Madrid midfielder Jude Bellingham reacts on October 28, 2023
Combined XI: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
Ahead of Sunday's El Clasico between Real Madrid and Barcelona in La Liga, Sports Mole chooses a combined XI from both squads.
Apr 19, 08:50
Real Madrid's Rodrygo celebrates scoring against Athletic Bilbao on March 31, 2024
How Real Madrid could line up against Barcelona
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Barcelona.
Apr 19, 15:54
Barcelona's Raphinha celebrates scoring their first goal with Robert Lewandowski on April 10, 2024
How Barcelona could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Real Madrid.
Apr 19, 15:56
Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior celebrates scoring their first goal with Federico Valverde and Dani Carvajal on January 14, 2024
Real Madrid handed double fitness boost for El Clasico
Real Madrid name Dani Carvajal and Vinicius Junior in their squad for Sunday night's La Liga clash against Barcelona.
Apr 20, 16:09
Barcelona coach Xavi before the match on December 10, 2023
"The most important game" - Xavi refuses to play down importance of El Clasico
Barcelona head coach Xavi calls Sunday's El Clasico away to Real Madrid "the most important game of the season".
Apr 20, 16:33
Barcelona coach Xavi on February 21, 2024
Barcelona missing two key players for El Clasico at Bernabeu
Gavi and Alejandro Balde will again be missing for Barcelona in Sunday night's La Liga contest with Real Madrid.
Apr 21, 09:25
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona15111343162734
2Real Madrid14103130111933
3Atletico MadridAtletico159512681832
4Athletic Bilbao157532214826
5Villarreal147522723426
6Mallorca157351513224
7Osasuna156542023-323
8GironaGirona156452220222
9Real Sociedad156361311221
10Real BetisBetis155551618-220
11Sevilla155461419-519
12Celta Vigo155372327-418
13Rayo Vallecano144461416-216
14Las PalmasLas Palmas154382026-615
15Leganes153661420-615
16AlavesAlaves154291625-914
17Getafe152761013-313
18Espanyol144191527-1213
19Valencia132471321-810
20Real ValladolidValladolid1523101032-229


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