Real Sociedad

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Real Madrid

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.