We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Real Madrid
This is arguably a bigger match for Real Sociedad, who are attempting to secure a top-four finish. Real Madrid will not want to enter the Copa del Rey final off the back of a poor result, though, and we can see the points being shared, which would not be the worst result for either side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.