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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Coventry City

Bristol City
1 - 0
Coventry

Dickie (45')
Weimann (55'), Yeboah (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eccles (74'), Ayari (81'), Dasilva (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Coventry City

A number of weeks ago, Bristol City would have been favourites to edge this contest, but the pendulum has swung in Coventry' favour. Although we anticipate a closely-fought contest, the visitors may just edge this fixture in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCoventry City
33.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 25.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 40.53% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.52% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (0.027999999999999 0.03)48.36% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (0.026999999999997 0.03)70.5% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (0.024999999999991 0.02)23.63% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (0.039000000000001 0.04)57.72% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 33.95%
    Coventry City 40.53%
    Draw 25.52%
Bristol CityDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.53%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Coventry

Bristol City
30.8%
Draw
38.5%
Coventry City
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 10, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Coventry
1-4
Bristol City
Allen (62')
Walker (34')
Naismith (12'), Conway (18', 30'), Weimann (90+4')
Vyner (1'), Scott (90+6')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Bristol City
1-2
Coventry
Martin (62')
Semenyo (59')
Maatsen (25'), Gyokeres (89')
O'Hare (39'), Hyam (59'), Dabo (88')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Coventry
3-2
Bristol City
Godden (51' pen., 90+1'), O'Hare (74')
McFadzean (63')
Maatsen (45')
Martin (45+1' pen.), Weimann (68')
Scott (14'), Kalas (81'), Wells (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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