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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Coventry City

Bristol City
1 - 0
Coventry

Dickie (45')
Weimann (55'), Yeboah (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eccles (74'), Ayari (81'), Dasilva (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Coventry City

A number of weeks ago, Bristol City would have been favourites to edge this contest, but the pendulum has swung in Coventry' favour. Although we anticipate a closely-fought contest, the visitors may just edge this fixture in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCoventry City
33.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 25.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 40.53% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.52% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (0.027999999999999 0.03)48.36% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (0.026999999999997 0.03)70.5% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (0.024999999999991 0.02)23.63% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (0.039000000000001 0.04)57.72% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 33.95%
    Coventry City 40.53%
    Draw 25.52%
Bristol CityDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.53%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Coventry

Bristol City
30.8%
Draw
38.5%
Coventry City
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 10, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Coventry
1-4
Bristol City
Allen (62')
Walker (34')
Naismith (12'), Conway (18', 30'), Weimann (90+4')
Vyner (1'), Scott (90+6')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Bristol City
1-2
Coventry
Martin (62')
Semenyo (59')
Maatsen (25'), Gyokeres (89')
O'Hare (39'), Hyam (59'), Dabo (88')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Coventry
3-2
Bristol City
Godden (51' pen., 90+1'), O'Hare (74')
McFadzean (63')
Maatsen (45')
Martin (45+1' pen.), Weimann (68')
Scott (14'), Kalas (81'), Wells (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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