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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Bristol City |
44.95% ( 0.27) | 25.69% ( 0.06) | 29.36% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 53.06% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.29% ( -0.41) | 50.71% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.39% ( -0.37) | 72.61% ( 0.37) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( -0.05) | 22.51% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% ( -0.07) | 56.08% ( 0.07) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.47% ( -0.45) | 31.53% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.08% ( -0.53) | 67.92% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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