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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Leicester logo

Southampton
1 - 4
Leicester

Edozie (25')
Smallbone (32'), Manning (73')
Deen Sulemana (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Vardy (1'), McAteer (18'), Ndidi (45+3'), Mavididi (67')
Maresca (33'), Dewsbury-Hall (39'), Winks (51'), Fatawu (73'), Akgun (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 5-0 Southampton
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

Leicester City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Hull City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 1-1 Leicester City

 Given how they fared last time out, we are expecting a much tighter affair, one which may benefit the visitors more so than the hosts. Nevertheless, the Saints can only have benefitted from some time on the training pitch after the recent upheaval, leaving us to predict a hard-fought share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
27.7% (0.061 0.06) 23.24% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 49.05% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.1% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (-0.07 -0.07)40.92% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (-0.073 -0.07)63.31% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)63.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)16.88% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.08% (-0.103 -0.1)46.92% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 27.7%
    Leicester City 49.06%
    Draw 23.23%
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 6.86% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 6% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.86% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 27.7%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.23%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 5.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.61% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 49.06%

How you voted: Southampton vs Leicester

Southampton
31.6%
Draw
15.8%
Leicester City
52.6%
19
Head to Head
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Leicester
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> Match Report
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Leicester
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Maddison (54')
Daka (76'), Maddison (90+4')
Adams (68', 84')
Elyounoussi (64'), Aribo (82'), Lavia (90+4')
> Preview
May 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 38
Leicester
4-1
Southampton
Maddison (49'), Vardy (74'), Perez (81', 90+6')
Ward-Prowse (79' pen.)
Romeu (70')
> Preview
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Southampton
2-2
Leicester
Bednarek (3'), Adams (34')
Romeu (48')
Evans (22'), Maddison (49')
Lookman (55'), Ndidi (82'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 34
Southampton
1-1
Leicester
Ward-Prowse (61' pen.)
Minamino (50')
Vestergaard (10')
Evans (68')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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