Premier League | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Southampton1 - 0Leicester
The Match
Match Report
Southampton move off the bottom of the Premier League table courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Leicester City at St Mary's.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Grimsby Town
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
36.63% ( -0.09) | 25.15% ( -0.02) | 38.23% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.22% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.65% ( 0.1) | 46.35% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% ( 0.1) | 68.63% ( -0.1) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( 0) | 24.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.64% ( 0) | 59.36% ( -0) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( 0.11) | 23.92% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.86% ( 0.15) | 58.14% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Southampton 36.63%
Leicester City 38.23%
Draw 25.15%
| Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 38.23% |
How you voted: Southampton vs Leicester
Southampton
17.4%Draw
19.9%Leicester City
62.7%161
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
May 22, 2022 4pm
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Apr 18, 2021 6.30pm
Form Guide
