Championship

Championship | Gameweek 3

Aug 19, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
1 - 2
Southampton

Hardie (51')
Scarr (10'), Hardie (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tella (49'), Adams (90+4')
Armstrong (30'), Charles (42'), Manning (74'), Stephens (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Southampton 4-4 Norwich
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Southampton

This has all the makings of a thrilling contest, with Plymouth playing with the confidence that comes with having made a fast start and Southampton seeing goals scored at both ends of the pitch. It leaves us to predict a high-scoring draw, one which will suit the home side more so than the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Southampton
49.17% ( -2.4)	23.64% ( 1.32)	27.19% ( 1.08)

Both teams to score 58.29% (

-3.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.87% (

-5.27)

43.13% (

5.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.47% (

-5.42)

65.53% (

5.42)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.32% (

-2.8)

17.68% (

2.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.69% (

-5.08)

48.31% (

5.09)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

-1.97)

29.2% (

1.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

-2.49)

65.14% (

2.49)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 49.17%

Southampton 27.19%

Draw 23.64%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 1.23) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.57) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.56) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.51) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.41) Other @ 3.76% Total : 49.17%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.97) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 1.11) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.64%	1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 1.08) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.48) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.36% Total : 27.19%