We said: Watford 3-2 Plymouth Argyle
Watford are back at Vicarage Road after EFL Cup disappointment in the week, and the Hornets faithful will be expecting a response against newly-promoted Plymouth.
The Pilgrims burst back onto the second-tier scene in the contest with Huddersfield last time out, but a trip to Hertfordshire will prove a much sterner test for the League One champions.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.