We said: Sunderland 1-2 Southampton
With Sunderland seemingly growing in confidence, this could prove to be a more competitive game than the table would have you believe. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Southampton's ability to score and to score late, leading us to back a narrow victory for the visitors.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.