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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Southampton logo

Sunderland
5 - 0
Southampton

Clarke (1'), Ekwah (7', 45'), Dack (48'), Rigg (90+5')
Ba (39'), O'Nien (42')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mara (35'), Adams (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 2-1 QPR
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-2 Southampton

With Sunderland seemingly growing in confidence, this could prove to be a more competitive game than the table would have you believe. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Southampton's ability to score and to score late, leading us to back a narrow victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawSouthampton
44.27% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 23.79% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 60.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)41.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)63.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.010000000000005 0.01)18.84% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)50.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)25.01% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)59.68% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 44.27%
    Southampton 31.94%
    Draw 23.79%
SunderlandDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 44.27%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.94%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Southampton

Sunderland
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Southampton
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
0-4
Southampton

Khazri (94')
Gabbiadini (30', 45'), Denayer (89' og.), Long (92')
Oct 26, 2016 7.45pm
Round Four
Southampton
1-0
Sunderland
Boufal (66')
Olomola (61')

Khazri (45'), Jones (64'), Ndong (94')
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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