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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Rotherham United |
50.65% ( 0.27) | 25.56% ( 0.03) | 23.79% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.12% ( -0.38) | 53.88% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.66% ( -0.32) | 75.34% ( 0.32) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( -0.04) | 21.3% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.76% ( -0.06) | 54.23% ( 0.06) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.2% ( -0.48) | 37.79% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.43% ( -0.47) | 74.57% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 50.64% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.63% Total : 23.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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