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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2023 at 1pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Rotherham
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Odofin (48')
Lindsay (29'), Odofin (68'), Bramall (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hackney (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Cardiff
Thursday, April 27 at 8pm in Championship

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 24 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Middlesbrough

 On the back of two narrow defeats, Rotherham are under pressure to rise to the occasion on Monday, something which will not be easy against a team of Boro's quality. With the visitors able to play with more freedom, we feel that they will ultimately edge what will be a tense contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
25.17% (0.299 0.3) 21.82% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 53% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 62.76% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.64% (0.192 0.19)36.36% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.51% (0.21 0.21)58.49% (-0.208 -0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (0.32799999999999 0.33)27.12% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (0.427 0.43)62.51% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)13.89% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.7% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)41.3% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 25.17%
    Middlesbrough 53%
    Draw 21.82%
Rotherham UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.049 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.21% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 25.17%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.11% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 53%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Middlesbrough

Rotherham United
7.7%
Draw
23.1%
Middlesbrough
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Middlesbrough
0-0
Rotherham

Howson (43')
Jul 30, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
0-1
Middlesbrough
McNair (14')
Apr 21, 2021 6pm
gameweek 43
Rotherham
1-2
Middlesbrough
MacDonald (3')
Lindsay (64'), Smith (76')
Crooks (18')
Saville (33'), Akpom (55')
Saville (72'), McNair (90'), Kebano (90+1')
Jan 27, 2021 7pm
gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
0-3
Rotherham
Crooks (43'), Smith (79' pen.), Giles (90+2')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Rotherham
1-2
Middlesbrough
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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