Championship | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2023 at 1pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Middlesbrough
On the back of two narrow defeats, Rotherham are under pressure to rise to the occasion on Monday, something which will not be easy against a team of Boro's quality. With the visitors able to play with more freedom, we feel that they will ultimately edge what will be a tense contest.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53% . A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.34%) . The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood .
Result Rotherham United Draw Middlesbrough 25.17% ( 0.3) 21.82% ( 0.02) 53% ( -0.32)
Both teams to score 62.76% ( 0.26)
63.64% ( 0.19) 36.36% ( -0.19)
41.51% ( 0.21) 58.49% ( -0.21)
72.88% ( 0.33) 27.12% ( -0.33)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.49% ( 0.43) 62.51% ( -0.43)
86.11% ( -0.04) 13.89% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 58.7% ( -0.07) 41.3% ( 0.07)
Rotherham United 25.17%
Middlesbrough 53%
Draw 21.82%
Rotherham United Draw Middlesbrough 2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.86% Total : 25.17% 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.82% 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.71% Total : 53%
How you voted: Rotherham vs Middlesbrough
Rotherham United
Draw
Middlesbrough
13
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-19 06:58:13
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