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Championship | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2023 at 1pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Rotherham
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Odofin (48')
Lindsay (29'), Odofin (68'), Bramall (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hackney (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Cardiff
Thursday, April 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 24 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Middlesbrough

On the back of two narrow defeats, Rotherham are under pressure to rise to the occasion on Monday, something which will not be easy against a team of Boro's quality. With the visitors able to play with more freedom, we feel that they will ultimately edge what will be a tense contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
25.17% (0.299 0.3) 21.82% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 53% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 62.76% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.64% (0.192 0.19)36.36% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.51% (0.21 0.21)58.49% (-0.208 -0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (0.32799999999999 0.33)27.12% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (0.427 0.43)62.51% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)13.89% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.7% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)41.3% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 25.17%
    Middlesbrough 53%
    Draw 21.82%
Rotherham UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.049 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.21% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 25.17%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 9.58% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.11% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 53%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Middlesbrough

Rotherham United
7.7%
Draw
23.1%
Middlesbrough
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 7.45pm
Jul 30, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
0-1
Middlesbrough
McNair (14')
Apr 21, 2021 6pm
gameweek 43
Rotherham
1-2
Middlesbrough
MacDonald (3')
Lindsay (64'), Smith (76')
Crooks (18')
Saville (33'), Akpom (55')
Saville (72'), McNair (90'), Kebano (90+1')
Jan 27, 2021 7pm
gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
0-3
Rotherham
Crooks (43'), Smith (79' pen.), Giles (90+2')
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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