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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Hull logo

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Hull City

Hackney (55'), Archer (58'), Akpom (61')
Akpom (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sayyadmanesh (41')
Vaughan (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Norwich
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, April 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-0 Hull City

Middlesbrough still have a slim chance of earning a top-two finish after destroying Norwich last time out, and despite injuries, Carrick's men will be confident of beating Hull. The Tigers did very well to earn a point at Ewood Park against Blackburn on Saturday, but we believe they will not be able to achieve back-to-back away results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
63.66% (-0.788 -0.79) 20.24% (0.261 0.26) 16.1% (0.529 0.53)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (-0.16 -0.16)41.94% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (-0.161 -0.16)64.34% (0.163 0.16)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (-0.268 -0.27)12.51% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.47% (-0.564 -0.56)38.52% (0.564 0.56)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.88% (0.575 0.57)39.12% (-0.575 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.16% (0.536 0.54)75.83% (-0.536 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 63.65%
    Hull City 16.1%
    Draw 20.24%
MiddlesbroughDrawHull City
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.32% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.87% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.81% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 63.65%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.118 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 16.1%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Hull City

Middlesbrough
85.9%
Draw
7.8%
Hull City
6.3%
64
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Hull City
2-0
Middlesbrough
Lumley (81' og.), Wilks (90+2')
Wilks (90+1')

Tavernier (7'), Peltier (58'), McNair (78')
Nov 24, 2019 12pm
Middlesbrough
2-2
Hull City
Tavernier (7'), Fletcher (27')
Clayton (55'), Dijksteel (92')
Johnson (37')
Bowen (71', 75')
de Wijs (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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