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Championship | Gameweek 38
Apr 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Rotherham
1 - 2
Cardiff

Ogbene (37')
Rathbone (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Etete (11'), Kipre (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Cardiff City

While each team knows the benefits of a win on Saturday, they are equally aware that they can ill-afford a defeat. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a competitive low-scoring draw play out at the New York Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCardiff City
37.99% (0.125 0.13) 27.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 34.85% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.32% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.92% (0.021999999999998 0.02)55.08% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.66% (0.019000000000002 0.02)76.33% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (0.079999999999998 0.08)28.11% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22% (0.104 0.1)63.78% (-0.104 -0.1)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)30.01% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.13% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 37.98%
    Cardiff City 34.85%
    Draw 27.16%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 37.98%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 10.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 34.85%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Cardiff

Rotherham United
31.9%
Draw
34.0%
Cardiff City
34.0%
94
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Cardiff
1-1
Rotherham
Pack (88')
Ralls (52')
Wing (8')
Ihiekwe (39'), Wiles (70')
Feb 9, 2021 7pm
gameweek 23
Rotherham
1-2
Cardiff
Crooks (61')
Ojo (42'), Bennett (85')
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
2-1
Cardiff
Palmer (31'), Smith (78')
Murphy (13')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Cardiff
5-0
Rotherham
Harris (11'), Hoilett (45'), Noone (49'), Zohore (54', 83')

Forde (63'), Belaid (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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