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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Burnley logo

Rotherham
2 - 2
Burnley

Vitinho (45+2' og.), Kelly (85')
Quina (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Twine (26'), Benson (81')
Maatsen (45+4'), Benson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 Luton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Burnley

Burnley are closing in on the Championship title, and we are expecting them to win on Tuesday night. Rotherham also need the points in their battle against survival, but we are finding it difficult to back against the Clarets, who should welcome back their key players for this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBurnley
24.36% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.07%51.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 54.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)69.63% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.39% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (0.00099999999999056 0)18.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 24.36%
    Burnley 51.56%
    Draw 24.07%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 6.74%
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.66%
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 24.36%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.46%
0-3 @ 5.02%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 2.31%
0-4 @ 2.13%
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 51.56%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Burnley

Rotherham United
18.9%
Draw
10.8%
Burnley
70.3%
74
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Burnley
3-2
Rotherham
Rodriguez (35'), Benson (90+1'), Dervisoglu (90+10')
Wiles (3'), Ogbene (64')
Bramall (68')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Rotherham
Vokes (27' pen.), Arfield (86')
Gray (64'), Mee (68')

Burke (20'), Smallwood (85')
Mar 12, 2005 3pm
Aug 10, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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