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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Cardiff City |
46.46% ( -1.62) | 25.59% ( -0.11) | 27.95% ( 1.73) |
Both teams to score 52.48% ( 1.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.97% ( 1.53) | 51.03% ( -1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.1% ( 1.33) | 72.89% ( -1.33) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% ( -0.08) | 21.95% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.76% ( -0.13) | 55.24% ( 0.13) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.25% ( 2.19) | 32.75% ( -2.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.69% ( 2.38) | 69.31% ( -2.38) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.71) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.57) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.54% Total : 27.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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