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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Birmingham City |
45.13% ( -1.35) | 25.47% ( 0.01) | 29.39% ( 1.34) |
Both teams to score 53.77% ( 0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.21% ( 0.68) | 49.78% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.21% ( 0.61) | 71.79% ( -0.61) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.96% ( -0.33) | 22.04% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.63% ( -0.49) | 55.37% ( 0.49) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.97% ( 1.35) | 31.03% ( -1.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.66% ( 1.55) | 67.34% ( -1.55) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.13% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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