Championship

Championship | Gameweek 3

Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
0 - 2
Birmingham

Dickie (38'), Dickie (76')
Dickie (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Miyoshi (45+3'), Jutkiewicz (84')
Sunjic (20'), Buchanan (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Birmingham City

Bristol City will be full of confidence after their last-minute win at Millwall, but the Robins' inconsistent tendencies could hinder their chances of securing maximum points this time out. Birmingham are also coming into this clash off the back of an outstanding result, and we believe Blues will have enough to maintain their unbeaten record in the Championship for another week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Birmingham City
45.13% ( -1.35)	25.47% ( 0.01)	29.39% ( 1.34)

Both teams to score 53.77% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.21% (

0.68)

49.78% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.21% (

0.61)

71.79% (

-0.61)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

-0.33)

22.04% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63% (

-0.49)

55.37% (

0.49)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.97% (

1.35)

31.03% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.66% (

1.55)

67.34% (

-1.55)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 45.13%

Birmingham City 29.4%

Draw 25.47%

Bristol City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.13%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 8% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.4%