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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Sheffield United logo

Birmingham
1 - 2
Sheff Utd

Sanderson (79')
Dean (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McBurnie (53'), McAtee (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 2-2 Sheffield United

Birmingham have made it through another season without relegation to League One - St Andrew's is likely to be in a celebratory and optimistic mood ahead of a planned summer takeover of the club. Sheffield United have been involved in entertaining clashes since their top-two berth was confirmed, and we are expecting a four-goal thriller on Monday to finish off the Championship campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSheffield United
30.89% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 28.75% (0.0019999999999989 0) 40.35% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 44.8% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.44% (-0.012 -0.01)61.55% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.59% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)81.41% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)36.1% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-0.044 -0.04)72.88% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.022000000000006 0.02)29.88% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.024999999999999 0.02)65.97% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 30.89%
    Sheffield United 40.35%
    Draw 28.74%
Birmingham CityDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 10.99%
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 30.89%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.74%
0-1 @ 13.03% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.87% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65%
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 40.35%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Sheff Utd

Birmingham City
12.5%
Draw
20.0%
Sheffield United
67.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Sheff Utd
1-1
Birmingham
McBurnie (64')
Deeney (70')
Longelo (21')
Feb 4, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 30
Birmingham
1-2
Sheff Utd
Taylor (61')
Roberts (50'), Taylor (57'), Bowyer (76'), Pedersen (80'), Bacuna (90+2')
Sharp (64'), Bogle (74')
Sharp (50')
Aug 7, 2021 8pm
Apr 10, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 41
Birmingham
1-1
Sheff Utd
Morrison (42')
Davis (34'), Pedersen (65')
Stevens (38')
Sep 19, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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