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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Birmingham logo

Coventry
2 - 0
Birmingham

Eccles (3'), Gyokeres (42' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Long (49'), Mejbri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Reading
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-1 Birmingham City

Coventry go into their final two matches of the regular season knowing their playoff fate is in their own hands - something that seemed very unlikely during their abysmal run of form in January. Birmingham have little to play for but will be followed by nearly 5,000 Bluenoses at the CBS Arena, and Eustace will make sure his men put on a good display for those travelling from the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawBirmingham City
56.04% (-0.622 -0.62) 23.38% (0.102 0.1) 20.59% (0.523 0.52)
Both teams to score 51.45% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.47% (0.24400000000001 0.24)48.54% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (0.223 0.22)70.66% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13)17.14% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (-0.236 -0.24)47.37% (0.239 0.24)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.1% (0.689 0.69)37.91% (-0.684 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.32% (0.659 0.66)74.68% (-0.65499999999999 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 56.03%
    Birmingham City 20.59%
    Draw 23.37%
Coventry CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 10.1% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 5.94% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 56.03%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 20.59%

How you voted: Coventry vs Birmingham

Coventry City
73.3%
Draw
23.3%
Birmingham City
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 42
Birmingham
2-4
Coventry
Pedersen (12'), Gardner (39')
Bacuna (4'), Roberts (40'), Richards (90+3'), Woods (90+5')
Sheaf (40', 45+4'), Rose (71'), O'Hare (90')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Coventry
0-0
Birmingham

Sanderson (54'), Roberts (76'), Sunjic (90+1')
Woods (82')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 27
Birmingham
1-1
Coventry
Bela (18' pen.)
Colin (20'), Sunjic (42'), San Jose (44')
Hamer (29')
Hamer (72')
Nov 20, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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