Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ricoh Arena
We said: Coventry City 2-0 Reading
Coventry will be buoyed following their dramatic equaliser at Blackburn on Wednesday, and Robins's men can bring that momentum into a home tie with a struggling Reading outfit.
The Royals deserve plaudits for holding both Luton and Burnley to draws over the past week, but the Berkshire club's woeful away form points towards a defeat in the West Midlands on Saturday.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 58.07% . A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.91% .
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.49%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%) , while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.71%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result Coventry City Draw Reading 58.07% ( -1.86) 24.03% ( 0.82) 17.91% ( 1.05)
Both teams to score 45.27% ( -0.38)
45.47% ( -1.56) 54.53% ( 1.56)
24.12% ( -1.31) 75.89% ( 1.32)
81.4% ( -1.25) 18.6% ( 1.25)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.11% ( -2.15) 49.89% ( 2.15)
55.61% ( 0.38) 44.39% ( -0.38)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 19.56% ( 0.31) 80.44% ( -0.3)
Coventry City 58.06%
Reading 17.91%
Draw 24.02%
Coventry City Draw Reading 1-0 @ 13.88% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.16% Total : 58.06% 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.02% 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.91%
How you voted: Coventry vs Reading
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rhs 2.0
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