Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2023 at 8pm UK

The Den

Millwall
0 - 1
Birmingham

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jutkiewicz (28')
Bielik (34'), Long (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Preston
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 1-1 Birmingham City

Millwall face Birmingham, Wigan Athletic and Blackpool in their next three matches, and Rowett will realise his side have a good chance of securing playoff football before they welcome Blackburn Rovers to The Den on the final day. Birmingham have little to play for in terms of promotion or relegation, but a number of the Blues squad will be auditioning for a place at the club next season, and we see Eustace's battling to a point on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Birmingham City
51.82% ( -0)	25.51% ( -0)	22.67% ( 0)

Both teams to score 47.86% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.3% (

54.7% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.98% (

76.02% (

-0)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.86% (

21.14% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.01% (

53.99%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.68% (

39.32% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.98% (

76.02% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Millwall 51.81%

Birmingham City 22.67%

Draw 25.51%

Millwall	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 12.91% 2-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.89% Other @ 3.27% Total : 51.81%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 8.31% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 7.76% 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.36% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.42% Total : 22.67%