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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Blackburn

Khadra (61')
Trusty (45+2'), Bacuna (89'), Bellingham (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dolan (45+2'), Travis (53'), Morton (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Birmingham are a result away from almost-certain Championship safety, but it is seldom the way of Blues to get their survival business done early in the second tier. Blackburn are on the home straight in their quest for a top-six finish, and we believe they will bounce back from their defeat in the FA Cup with a maximum at St Andrew's on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
37.41% (0.012 0.01) 28.12% (0.0040000000000013 0) 34.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.26% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)58.74% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)79.27% (0.012 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)66.4% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)32.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)68.57% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.4%
    Blackburn Rovers 34.46%
    Draw 28.12%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.4%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 11.02%
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
19.4%
Draw
12.9%
Blackburn Rovers
67.7%
31
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Fourth Round Replays
Birmingham
0-1
Blackburn

Chong (90+3'), James (120+2')
Trusty (100' og.)
Buckley (98'), Brereton Diaz (107'), Travis (114')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Blackburn
2-2
Birmingham
Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80'), Brereton Diaz (86')
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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