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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Bristol City |
39.96% ( 0.03) | 28.2% ( 0.03) | 31.84% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.62% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.56% ( -0.1) | 59.44% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.2% ( -0.08) | 79.81% ( 0.08) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.93% ( -0.03) | 29.07% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.02% ( -0.04) | 64.98% ( 0.05) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.72% ( -0.09) | 34.28% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.03% ( -0.1) | 70.98% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.96% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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