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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Hull City |
41.42% ( -1.93) | 27.11% ( 0.09) | 31.46% ( 1.84) |
Both teams to score 49.66% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.46% ( 0.31) | 55.54% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.28% ( 0.25) | 76.71% ( -0.26) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.59% ( -0.87) | 26.41% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.42% ( -1.16) | 61.57% ( 1.16) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.49% ( 1.51) | 32.51% ( -1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.96% ( 1.66) | 69.04% ( -1.66) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.42% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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