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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Swansea logo

Hull City
1 - 1
Swansea

Cabango (3' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cundle (39')
Manning (43'), Paterson (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Watford
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 1-2 Swansea City

With both teams in form, this should prove to be a competitive fixture, particularly with the pressure off Hull. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Swansea, who are motivated to retain their current tag of the best-performing side in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Hull CityDrawSwansea City
25.5% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 24.56% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 49.94% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.354 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5% (-0.427 -0.43)48.5% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (-0.392 -0.39)70.63% (0.396 0.4)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.64% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)33.36% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.02% (-0.331 -0.33)69.99% (0.337 0.34)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (-0.164 -0.16)19.44% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (-0.273 -0.27)51.29% (0.278 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 25.5%
    Swansea City 49.94%
    Draw 24.56%
Hull CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.5%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 10.62% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.7% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.21% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 49.94%

How you voted: Hull City vs Swansea

Hull City
53.8%
Draw
15.4%
Swansea City
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 11
Swansea
3-0
Hull City
Manning (61'), Cundle (64'), Piroe (85')

Slater (45+4')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 29
Hull City
2-0
Swansea
Eaves (5'), Lewis-Potter (17')

Manning (80'), Walsh (85')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 6
Swansea
0-0
Hull City

Paterson (60')

Bernard (61'), Lewis-Potter (90+5')
Feb 14, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 3, 2019 3pm
gameweek 1
Swansea
2-1
Hull City
Baston (48'), Van der Hoorn (49')
Celina (10'), Bidwell (88')
Grosicki (3')
Eaves (74'), Lichaj (96')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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