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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Hawthorns
Norwich logo

West Brom
2 - 1
Norwich

Townsend (45+1'), Wallace (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sargent (41')
Byram (16'), Gibbs (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 West Brom
Wednesday, April 26 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Norwich City

West Brom have squandered two chances to keep their playoff fate in their own hands after defeats to Sunderland and Sheffield United, but a wounded Norwich side visiting The Hawthorns presents a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. The Canaries were left feeling deflated after their humbling loss to Swansea last time out, and we expect them to be unable to get anything out of a trip to the Black Country on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawNorwich City
43.4% (-0.282 -0.28) 25.91% (0.081 0.08) 30.69% (0.197 0.2)
Both teams to score 53.05% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96% (-0.268 -0.27)51.04% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (-0.233 -0.23)72.9% (0.23 0.23)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.254 -0.25)23.39% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.368 -0.37)57.38% (0.365 0.37)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25%30.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 43.4%
    Norwich City 30.69%
    Draw 25.91%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.076 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 5% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.69%

How you voted: West Brom vs Norwich

West Bromwich Albion
76.7%
Draw
16.7%
Norwich City
6.7%
30
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Norwich
1-1
West Brom
Byram (68')
Aarons (58')
O'Shea (9')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
gameweek 27
West Brom
1-1
Norwich
Gayle (12')
Barry (61'), Rodriguez (62'), Holgate (85')
Rhodes (83')
Tettey (56'), Buendia (62'), Krul (90'), Vrancic (94')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
gameweek 2
Norwich
3-4
West Brom
Rhodes (24'), Pukki (70'), Hanley (82')
Rodriguez (33' pen., 48'), Barnes (65'), Robson-Kanu (79')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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