Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

The Hawthorns

West Brom
2 - 1
Norwich

Townsend (45+1'), Wallace (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sargent (41')
Byram (16'), Gibbs (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 West Brom
Wednesday, April 26 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Norwich City

West Brom have squandered two chances to keep their playoff fate in their own hands after defeats to Sunderland and Sheffield United, but a wounded Norwich side visiting The Hawthorns presents a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. The Canaries were left feeling deflated after their humbling loss to Swansea last time out, and we expect them to be unable to get anything out of a trip to the Black Country on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Norwich City
43.4% ( -0.28)	25.91% ( 0.08)	30.69% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 53.05% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.96% (

-0.27)

51.04% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.1% (

-0.23)

72.9% (

0.23)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

-0.25)

23.39% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63% (

-0.37)

57.38% (

0.37)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.25%

30.75% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.99% (

67.02% (

-0)

Score Analysis

West Bromwich Albion 43.4%

Norwich City 30.69%

Draw 25.91%

West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 43.4%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.69%