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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bristol City

Swansea
1 - 2
Bristol City

Cullen (10')
Naughton (45+2'), Ginnelly (57'), Paterson (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sykes (48'), Bell (59')
Naismith (45+3'), Dickie (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Bristol City

Judging by the starts of both sides, this can be nothing but a hard-fought contest. Bristol City will fancy their chances of extending Swansea's poor start, yet we feel that the Welsh outfit will rally in the closing stages to register a much-needed three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
43.25% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 26.37% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 30.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.48% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (0.028999999999996 0.03)53% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (0.023999999999997 0.02)74.59% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68%24.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29%58.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)31.97% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57% (0.042000000000002 0.04)68.43% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 43.25%
    Bristol City 30.38%
    Draw 26.36%
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.25%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.38%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Bristol City
Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 32
Swansea
3-1
Bristol City
Obafemi (54'), Christie (79'), Piroe (90+4')
Obafemi (56'), Christie (90+2')
Weimann (42')
Klose (59'), Dasilva (69'), Semenyo (86'), Martin (90+2'), Williams (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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