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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke logo

Bristol City
2 - 3
Stoke

Bell (5'), Wells (15')
Weimann (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Leris (20'), Haksabanovic (47'), Lowe (89')
Tchamadeu (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Stoke City

Even in defeat to Leicester, Bristol City gave a positive account of themselves, and that should stand them in good stead this weekend. Stoke look like they are making no progress under Neil, leading us to predict a home win, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
37.58% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 36.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.09% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (0.004999999999999 0)70.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94%25.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)59.74%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 37.58%
    Stoke City 36.88%
    Draw 25.52%
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.98%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.58%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.88%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Stoke

Bristol City
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Stoke City
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Stoke
1-2
Bristol City
Powell (36')
Vyner (72'), Mehmeti (85')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Bristol City
1-2
Stoke
Wells (33')
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bristol City
0-2
Stoke

Lansbury (14')
Powell (25'), Fletcher (62')
Brown (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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