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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Hull City |
53.76% ( -0.87) | 23.94% ( 0.04) | 22.3% ( 0.83) |
Both teams to score 52.06% ( 0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.09% ( 0.74) | 48.91% ( -0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29% ( 0.67) | 71% ( -0.67) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.88% ( -0.05) | 18.11% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.94% ( -0.09) | 49.06% ( 0.08) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.57% ( 1.22) | 36.42% ( -1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( 1.21) | 73.21% ( -1.21) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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