MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 10:41:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Watford logo

Stoke
1 - 0
Watford

Vidigal (53')
McNally (29'), Wesley (52'), Thompson (77'), Johnson (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kone (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Watford

This could emerge as one of the best fixtures of the weekend with both teams having put together squads capable of challenging for promotion. We can only predict a draw between two well-match sides, Stoke potentially being content if they can avoid a second defeat in succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWatford
46.55% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 26.52% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 26.93% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.95% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.73% (0.054000000000002 0.05)55.27% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (0.045000000000002 0.05)76.49% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)23.72% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)57.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.18% (0.081000000000003 0.08)35.82% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.4% (0.084 0.08)72.6% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 46.54%
    Watford 26.93%
    Draw 26.52%
Stoke CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 26.93%

How you voted: Stoke vs Watford

Stoke City
52.4%
Draw
19.0%
Watford
28.6%
21
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Stoke
Louza (70'), Davis (74')
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
0-4
Watford
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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