EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
2 - 1
West Brom

Griffiths (27' og.), Vidigal (65')
McNally (5'), Sidibe (45'), Travers (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomas-Asante (64')
Pieters (31'), Bartley (66'), Gardner-Hickman (68'), Griffiths (86')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 4-1 Rotherham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stoke City 3-1 West Bromwich Albion

Stoke found their scoring boots against Rotherham on Saturday, and the Potters should be confident of making the net ripple against an Albion side who have struggled defensively since returning from their summer break. The Baggies have been poor away from home in 2023, and we do not expect a much-changed West Brom XI to progress into the second round of the EFL Cup at the bet365 Stadium on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
35.8% ( -0)	26.29% ( -0)	37.91% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.23% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.57% (

0.01)

51.43% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.76% (

0.01)

73.24% (

-0.01)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.35% (

27.65% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.81% (

63.19% (

-0.01)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57% (

26.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.41% (

0.01)

61.59% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 35.8%

West Bromwich Albion 37.91%

Draw 26.29%

Stoke City	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.8%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.47% 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.91%