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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Preston North End logo

Stoke
0 - 2
Preston


Pearson (1'), Stevens (63'), Laurent (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Keane (51' pen., 57')
Lindsay (24'), Frokjaer-Jensen (45+1'), Holmes (63'), Browne (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Preston North End

Stoke City have been inconsistent overall so far this season, but they have enjoyed four successes in a row at the bet365 Stadium across all competitions, scoring 13 goals in the process. Preston are unbeaten in the second tier up to this point, although we believe that Lowe's men will suffer their first defeat of the campaign in Staffordshire on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 26.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawPreston North End
46.1% (0.117 0.12) 27.24% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 26.65% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.72% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.95% (0.14 0.14)58.05% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27% (0.11 0.11)78.73% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.11999999999999 0.12)25.16% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (0.165 0.16)59.88% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43% (0.018999999999998 0.02)37.57% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65% (0.018999999999998 0.02)74.35% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 46.1%
    Preston North End 26.65%
    Draw 27.24%
Stoke CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 13.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.45% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 26.65%

How you voted: Stoke vs Preston

Stoke City
60.0%
Draw
16.7%
Preston North End
23.3%
30
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
0-1
Preston
Evans (90+3')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Preston
0-2
Stoke
Smallbone (58'), Campbell (66')
Jan 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Preston
Wilmot (46')
Allen (64'), Doughty (79'), Ince (90+4')
Potts (59'), Hughes (81')
Hughes (49'), Ledson (90+1')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Preston
1-1
Stoke
Whiteman (38')
Cunningham (31'), Riis Jakobsen (88')
Powell (6')
Skiri Oestigaard (25'), Wilmot (83'), Tymon (90'), Clucas (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
0-0
Preston
Chester (53'), Clucas (67')
Souttar (87')
Ledson (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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