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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Bristol City

Blackburn
3 - 0
Bristol City

Travis (17'), Ohashi (55', 70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McNally (11'), Sykes (44'), Mehmeti (74'), Roberts (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Bristol City

With Bristol City extra motivated to bounce back from their heavy defeat to Derby, we expect them to run Blackburn close on Saturday. However, the home side have only impressed this campaign and that could continue at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
40.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 33.15% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)52.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)74.29% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)25.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)29.89% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.99% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 40.35%
    Bristol City 33.15%
    Draw 26.48%
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 33.15%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Bristol City

Blackburn Rovers
Draw
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
64.3%
Draw
17.9%
Bristol City
17.9%
56
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 42
Bristol City
5-0
Blackburn
Conway (24', 32' pen.), Mehmeti (73'), Wells (78' pen., 90+6')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Blackburn
2-1
Bristol City
Sigurdsson (35'), Wharton (52')
Carter (22'), Brittain (85'), Szmodics (88'), Travis (89')
Sykes (60')
Knight (51')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Blackburn
2-3
Bristol City
Dolan (71'), Brereton Diaz (90+3')
Wharton (7'), Pickering (67')
Conway (42'), Wells (55', 73')
James (57'), Scott (58')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Blackburn
0-1
Bristol City

Khadra (49')
Weimann (90+2')
Scott (26'), Bentley (87'), Weimann (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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