Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley1 - 1Blackburn
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Burnley
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 1-2 Blackpool
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
We said: Burnley 2-1 Blackburn Rovers
Burnley have enjoyed all of the bragging rights from this fixture over the past decade and will be confident of continuing their excellent record in the East Lancashire derby on Saturday. Blackburn are still a major threat in attack despite the departure of Szmodics, but we feel that the visitors will narrowly lose out at Turf Moor this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
41.82% ( -0.07) | 24.46% ( 0.02) | 33.72% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.15% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% ( -0.06) | 43.62% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% ( -0.06) | 66.01% ( 0.06) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( -0.06) | 20.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.29% ( -0.09) | 53.71% ( 0.1) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( 0.01) | 25.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.12% ( 0.01) | 59.88% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Burnley 41.82%
Blackburn Rovers 33.72%
Draw 24.46%
| Burnley | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.82% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.72% |
How you voted: Burnley vs Blackburn
Burnley
63.4%Draw
16.8%Blackburn Rovers
19.8%101
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2023 8pm
Nov 13, 2022 12.30pm
Oct 24, 2015 12.30pm
