Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley5 - 0Cardiff
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luton 1-4 Burnley
Monday, August 12 at 8pm in Championship
Monday, August 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
We said: Burnley 2-0 Cardiff City
Burnley made Turf Moor a fortress during their title-winning campaign of 2022-23, and we are expecting a similar story for the Clarets this time around. Cardiff have been unconvincing to date this season, so we cannot envisage them collecting any points during a trip to one of the favourites for automatic promotion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Cardiff City |
31.3% ( -1.66) | 24.55% ( -0) | 44.15% ( 1.67) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.12% ( -0.59) | 44.88% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.77% ( -0.56) | 67.23% ( 0.57) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% ( -1.32) | 27.25% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.32% ( -1.75) | 62.68% ( 1.75) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( 0.51) | 20.43% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.12% ( 0.8) | 52.88% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
Burnley 31.3%
Cardiff City 44.15%
Draw 24.54%
| Burnley | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.3% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.15% |
How you voted: Burnley vs Cardiff
Burnley
90.4%Draw
3.8%Cardiff City
5.8%52
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Form Guide
