We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Hertha Berlin
With Cardiff only having two days to recuperate from their last engagement and Hertha competing in two friendlies in the space of a few hours, there are many uncertainties to Thursday's friendly.
The two outfits appear relatively evenly-matched on paper, though, and regardless of the personnel selected, we can envisage a share of the spoils here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.