Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.97%) and 0-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Elversberg	Draw	Hertha Berlin
37.24% ( -0.55)	22.8% ( 0.3)	39.97% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 66.12% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.17% (

-1.56)

34.83% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.2% (

-1.77)

56.8% (

1.77)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.71% (

-0.93)

19.29% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.96% (

-1.56)

51.04% (

1.57)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.93% (

-0.55)

18.07% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.01% (

-0.95)

48.99% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

Elversberg 37.24%

Hertha Berlin 39.97%

Draw 22.8%

Elversberg	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.45% Total : 37.24%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.8%	1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.97% Total : 39.97%