Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 61.74%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 19.8% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (4.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.