Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley1 - 2Nott'm Forest
The Match
Match Report
Nottingham Forest confirm their spot as a Premier League club for next season courtesy of a 2-1 victory over Burnley in Sunday afternoon's clash at Turf Moor.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Burnley
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Chelsea
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
37.37% ( -1.19) | 23.89% ( 0.47) | 38.74% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 61.89% ( -1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
