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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Cardiff


Bielik (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bowler (65')
Ng (47'), Bowler (58'), Ralls (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Hull City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Cardiff City

Despite the heartbreaking nature of the defeat at Leicester, there were plenty of positives to take from the performance for Birmingham, who simply need to pick up points at St Andrew's over the next week. Cardiff's season is all but over, and we can envisage the visitors producing another limp performance on Wednesday night to continue their poor run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
43.04% (-0.178 -0.18) 26.16% (0.13 0.13) 30.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.34% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (-0.506 -0.51)51.98% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (-0.441 -0.44)73.72% (0.43899999999999 0.44)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (-0.31 -0.31)23.98% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.78% (-0.444 -0.44)58.22% (0.443 0.44)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)31.15% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (-0.262 -0.26)67.48% (0.259 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 43.03%
    Cardiff City 30.81%
    Draw 26.16%
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.03%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Cardiff

Birmingham City
55.8%
Draw
17.4%
Cardiff City
26.7%
86
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Cardiff
0-1
Birmingham

Meite (55')
Bacuna (45+3')
Sunjic (42'), Dembele (63')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Birmingham
1-3
Cardiff
Hogan (70')
Oakley (35'), Cosgrove (76')
Jutkiewicz (56')
Colwill (3'), Wintle (68'), Etete (90+4')
Rinomhota (23'), Etete (50'), Romeo (90+3')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-2
Cardiff
Ng (84'), Robinson (90+5')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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